2nd International Seminar on Probabilistic Methodologies for Nuclear Applications

Picture of the Canadian Parliament

Ottawa, Ontario, Canada

October 25–26, 2017

Hosted by the Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission (CNSC) in cooperation with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), this seminar is a technical exchange among experts from regulators to utilities to academia on the practical application of probabilistic methodologies used to evaluate nuclear power plant components.

Seminar format

Presentations related to the application of probabilistic methodologies in nuclear industry applications are currently being solicited. Several presentations followed by discussion will be planned according to the suggested topics below. It is expected that approximately 16 presentations will be scheduled over the course of the two days, followed by an open panel session. Suggested topics of discussion include:

  • Probabilistic fracture mechanics
  • Probabilistic fracture protection
  • Probabilistic leak-before-break
  • Uncertainty analysis
  • Development of input parameter distributions
  • Risk-informed assessments
  • Regulatory acceptance of probabilistic assessments
  • Development of probabilistic modelling software

Background on the seminar

Deterministic assessments that include an assessment of the impact of postulated service-induced degradation for nuclear power plant pressure boundary components can generate conservative conclusions. As a result, there is increased interest in the nuclear industry in the use of probabilistic methodologies to evaluate the risk of component failure, but currently, there are no generally accepted methodologies for conducting these types of evaluations. This seminar provides a venue for sharing information and experience related to the use of various probabilistic assessment methods.

This is the second seminar organized by the CNSC on this subject. The first seminar was in October 2013, with participants from Canada, the United States, Finland, Germany, Romania, Czech Republic and Switzerland.

Call for presentations

Participants wishing to present are required to submit an abstract (200 to 400 words). All abstracts should be submitted by July 31, 2017. (Note: All abstracts and extended summaries submitted by email must be in MS Word, in "Times New Roman 11" font.)

The organizing committee will review abstracts, and authors will be notified by August 15, 2017. Authors of accepted presentations should submit, by email, their extended summary and presentation by October 1, 2017. Presentations are not to exceed 30 minutes.

Copyright transfer forms will be provided upon acceptance of the presentation abstract and will need to be submitted with the final presentation.

Suggestion: After the seminar, authors may consider submitting a detailed paper on the content of their presentation to the ASME Journal of Nuclear Engineering and Radiation Science. The journal may accept paper submissions that have been presented at the 2nd International Seminar on Probabilistic Methodologies for Nuclear Applications. For more information visit the ASME Journal website.

Location and accommodations:

The workshop will be held in Canada’s capital, Ottawa, Ontario, during Canada’s 150th anniversary year. There will be lots to see and do!

Seminar location:
John G. Diefenbaker Building
111 Sussex Drive, Bytown Pavillion
Ottawa, Ontario

To learn more about where to stay and what to do while in Ottawa, visit:

Ottawa Tourism
Canada 150

Language of the seminar and proceedings material

All presentations and discussions will be in English. A CD containing all presentations will be compiled and distributed at the end of the workshop. Presentations may be published on the CNSC’s website.

Key dates at a glance

Presentation abstracts due by: July 31, 2017
Accepted presenters notified by: August 15, 2017
Extended summary and presentations due by: October 1, 2017
Last day for participation registration: September 15, 2017
Seminar program emailed to participants by: September 15, 2017
Seminar: October 25–26, 2017

Registration and participation

Participation is open to experts from regulatory authorities and their technical support organizations; research organizations; nuclear power plant owners, operators, designers and vendors; and industry associations.

Advanced registration is required, as seats will be limited. There is no fee to participate. Travel and accommodation costs are the responsibility of participants. Registration must be completed by September 15, 2017.

Please read the Privacy Statement before completing this form. All fields marked with an asterisk (*) are required. If you have difficulty with the following form, contact us at the coordinates below.

The number of participants who can be accommodated is limited and therefore the workshop organizers may restrict participation.

Request to participate details
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Contact information

For assistance with administrative details or for further information, please contact one of the CNSC’s organizing committee members:

Blair Carroll: blair.carroll@canada.ca
Dr. Bogdan Wasiluk: bogdan.wasiluk@canada.ca
Dr. John Jin: john.jin@canada.ca
Dr. Jovica Riznic: jovica.riznic@canada.ca

Primary contact:

Dr. Bogdan Wasiluk
Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission
280 Slater Street
P.O. Box 1046, Station B
Ottawa, ON K1P 5S9

Telephone: +1 613 996 0804
Fax: +1 613 995 5086